Workshop on Issues in Dynamic Decision Theory
Time: July 6 – 8, 2023
Place: Bischofsvilla, University of Konstanz
Abstract: The workshop will be organized by the Reinhart-Koselleck project “Reflexive Decision and Game Theory” of Wolfgang Spohn at the University of Konstanz. Its decision-theoretic part is particularly concerned with dynamic choice. Which is hence the topic of the first workshop of this project.
Dynamic choice has indeed become an important topic within the theory of rational choice (decision theory). But it has two different facets. The topic originated in economics from the problem of (endogenous) preference change. Dynamic consistency was then considered to be a central desideratum, leading to theories of sophisticated choice satisfying this desideratum. Since McClennen’s important book in 1990, a different rich discussion has evolved in which dynamic consistency is rather used as a test criterion for various decision rules in a dynamic setting. The former motivation was no longer in the center. Hence, the aim of the workshop is to bring together these two strands of the discussion and to promote an exchange between them. A further aim is to introduce the so-called reflexive perspective which is pursued within the project.
Wolfgang Spohn, University of Konstanz (Main Organizer)
Gerard Rothfus, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill
Arif Ahmed, University of Cambridge
Richard Bradley, London School of Economics
Till Grüne-Yanoff, University of Stockholm
Johan E. Gustafsson, University of York
Peter Hammond, University of Warwick
Conrad Heilmann, University of Rotterdam
Brian Hill, HEC Paris
Richard Pettigrew, University of Bristol
Wlodek Rabinowicz, University of Lund
Orri Stefánsson, University of Stockholm
Reuben Stern, Duke University
Johanna Thoma, London School of Economics, University of Bayreuth
Daniel Herrmann, University of California Irvine
Sebastian Krug, Leibniz Universität Hannover
Toby Solomon, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
Kangyu Wang, London School of Economics
Timothy Williamson, University of Oxford
Thursday, July 6, 2023
09.20 - 09.30: Opening
09.30 - 10.30: Arif Ahmed, "The Point of Rationality"
10.30 - 11.00: Coffee Break
11.00 - 11.40: Sebastian Krug, "No Escape from the Cycle?"
11.40 - 12.40: Richard Pettigrew, "On Choosing how to Choose"
12.35 - 14.00: Lunch Break
14:00 - 15:00: Gerard Rothfus, "Dynamic Consistency for Two Kinds of Moral Absolutism"
15.00 - 16.00: Reuben Stern, "The Chances of Choices"
16:00 - 16:30: Coffee Break
16:30 - 17:30: Johan E. Gustafsson, "Causal Decision Theory and the Dutch-Book Argument for Conditioning"
19:00: Conference Dinner
Friday, July 7, 2023
09.20 - 10.20: Peter Hammond, "Rationality in Enlivened Decision Trees"
10.20 - 11.00: Daniel Herrmann, "Endogenizing Control"
11:00 - 11:30: Coffee Break
11.30 - 12.30: Wolfgang Spohn, "Reflexive Rationality and Sophisticated Choice"
12:30 - 13:50: Lunch Break
13:50 - 14:30: Kangyu Wang, "Sophisticated Sophistication Strategy in Dynamic Decision Making"
14:30 - 15:30: Johanna Thoma, "Some Mistakes are Irreducibly Diachronic"
15:30 - 16:00: Coffee Break
16:00 - 16:40: Timothy Williamson, "Retrospective Choice"
16.40 - 17.40: Till Grüne-Yanoff, "A Building Code for Dynamic Preference Construction"
19:00: Conference Dinner
Saturday, July 8, 2023
09.20 - 10.20: Brian Hill, "Dynamic Consistency and Ambiguity: A Reappraisal"
10.20 - 11.00: Toby Solomon, "Are my future choices DARC to me now?"
11:00 - 11.30: Coffee Break
11.30 - 12.45: Richard Bradley / Orri Stefansson, "Chance Attitudes and Dynamic Consistency"
12.45 - 12.50: Closing
13.00: Farewell Lunch